Tuesday, January 1, 2013

Burundi’s 2015 General Election: Fear or Hope?

As far as Central Africa goes, Burundi is overlooked. Landlocked between the DRC, Rwanda, and Tanzania, Burundi's history is one of military government, ethnic cleansing, and civil war. Yet this small state is intimately tied to its neighbors. It was violence in Burundi during the 1970s that set the paranoia of the Habyarimana regime in Rwanda, laying the framework for genocide. Two Burundian presidents died within a year of each other in 1993-1994, and then all hell broke loose. Burundi emerged from a long civil war, holding elections in 2005 that set the CNDD in to legitimacy and democratic government, but the election cycle in 2010 broke down with opposition parties boycotting the general election after early results seemed to be rigged in the favor of the CNDD. Burundi is set to hold elections again in 2015. The CNDD faces new and old rebel groups and there is an uneasy peace holding the country at the moment. Which brings me to today's post- a guest post explaining the current situation of democracy in Burundi.

Stany Nzobonimpa is currently working towards a degree in Peace Studies and Conflict Resolution in Kenya. He also runs the Association AJC Burundi, a political organization for the youth of Burundi. This is his opinion on the future of democracy in his country of Burundi. He will be writing frequently on working towards peace and solutions for the heart of Africa.

 
Burundi’s 2015 General Election: Fear or Hope?
Now 3 years, the CNDD FDD’s second term is flowing...and with, I must say, little proof that the Nyangoma found party is well positioned and trustful enough to win the coming election.
It was in January 2005 that the former rebels registered CNDD FDD (Burundi’s ruling party) as a political party creating hope for the future of the country. Many analysts saw the coming of a new ruling system mainly controlled by the Hutu, the major ethnic group who had been denied power since independence as a new era, an open door to democracy and good governance. However, that hope could not last longer. Only a few years after their emerging to power, the party was accused by some of its members of ‘changing and migrating’ in terms of ideology, accusations which gave way for the CNDD FDD to lose many of its committed and historical officials. The situation became even worse when the outcomes of the 2010 general election were contested by all of the opposition parties whose leaders decided to withdraw their candidates from continuing with the electoral process.
On December 4, 2012 in the famous ‘Palace’ of Kigobe, the news surprised almost every Burundian: the CENI team (National Independent Electoral Commission), chaired by the same individuals of 2010, was voted for by the majority in parliament to head the new commission for 2015 leaving anger in the midst of the opposing parties and doubt in independent observers. Those individuals were accused by boycotters in 2010 of being ‘used’ by the ruling CNDD FDD and ADC Ikibiri (Coalition of opposing parties) blamed the chairman, Ambassador P. Claver Ndayicariye and his team for the ‘trucked’ election.


Now that almost ‘every’ hope is gone for a fair election, what will 2015 bring us? Wait and see. The general election is coming when majority of the leaders who ‘think things should be done differently’ are living in exile, having been forced to do so by fear of death in 2011. The era approaches with war memorandum and attacks in some provinces. In the year 2011, according to a Human Rights Watch Report (2012), violence increased and, 3 years after election, the political situation has failed to stabilize. Impunity for killing and other human rights violation has been an obstacle to peace and stability in the country. With the ruling party’s youth wing (Imbonerakure) and the intelligence services (SNR) largely accused in many reports of being violence promoters, the future for the political stability of the country seems to disappear by the ‘horizons’.
In a country where more than 400 people were killed in one year (2011) because of their political opinions (Anonymous Report 2011), concerned should be careful and prepare an open, fair, democratic and accepted election to prevent violence in the coming 2015 Burundi general election. I think that it is NOW that constructive talks between ALL parties should start to promote a culture of peace and nonviolence. People should understand that unless there is TRUE democracy and good governance, respect of individuals’ rights and understanding between blocks, the reconciliation process will NEVER take roots in that country known as the heart of Africa.